I told my friend the other night that "if Manny wins this fight, look for bob arum to suddenly start talking up the Floyd fight"... of course after the fight, I came home and looked at some articles and sure enough found arum already speaking about it.
However, based off of some things I have read, heard and my own thoughts there are a few ways I think this will go down...
1. We get Manny vs. Floyd BUT not until 2015 when Manny's contract with top rank runs out. This is not the most likely of scenarios however for two reasons. Manny has said that he does not plan to leave arum, and Floyd HATES arum.
2. We get Floyd vs. Bradley: I know I know, but Bradley just lost! Here me out on this one anyway. Floyd and his team are masters of hyping a fight. Floyd will say that he felt like Bradley beat Manny and that had Bradley not been injured early in the fight he would have beaten him again.
Why I think this is the more likely fight? For a few reasons. One that I mentioned about Manny being with arum. However, the bigger reasons are that Bradley just made 6 million for this fight, he is a less expensive opponent, but is he a draw enough to sell the fight? YES! He's now easily beaten the guy who KO'd Manny, has an "official" win over Manny and has been in now two PPV's with Manny. That's a lot of exposure. Why else will it sell? Floyd vs. Alvarez was the highest grossing PPV event in history, everyone assumed that half of that was because of Alvarez, but after the disappointing PPV numbers for Alvarez vs. Angulo have come out, it seems that Floyd was the draw, but not because people love him... because people want to see him lose, many of those PPV's were simply for that reason alone. But Tim Bradley is with top rank too, so how can this happen? Simple, Bradley cares more about legacy and would happily buy out his contract with arum for a fight with Floyd. Floyd offers him 5-10 million dollars without arums typical 30% cut and in the end Bradley makes more than he did Saturday night and the shot of causing a HUGE upset. Manny is loyal to arum to a fault... I don't believe Bradley is the same way.
Let's assume for a second though that arum sits down with golden boy and they try to work out a deal. Floyd will not give Manny half after being knocked out by Marquez and looking less impressive vs. Rios and Bradley (in the sense of the Manny of 2009-2012). Depending on how the numbers come in from Saturday which I will guestimate that 600-800k buys (Manny vs. Rios was only 500k) and at the most he offers Manny a 70/30 split at best, which will immediately kill talks with arum and that side.
3. Floyd reaches out to Manny either bypassing arum, or perhaps he attempts to convince Manny to sign with golden boy when his contract is up instead in which he would get less money taken off of his purse, a signing bonus for however many fights and then offers him the same 40 million dollar guarantee (Manny was just guaranteed by arum 20 million for Saturday night) that he offered Manny before. Remember, Manny has serious tax issues and may wind up broke very soon if someone doesn't step in and help him and arum isn't interest in that.. he just wants the guy to fight and keep making him money.
4. We get Floyd vs. Martinez: Cotto and Martinez will fight in June, if Martinez wins that fight, but looks beatable I can really see Floyd shooting him an offer of a few million. Martinez wanted the Cotto fight so bad he told his people "give him whatever he wants and let's fight"... this shows that he would be more than willing to do the same for Floyd. This is perhaps Floyd's cheapest option as well as legacy defining one. Martinez is not a big middleweight and IIRC he hasn't even come into a MW fight at the 160 lb limit since he's been there. He's 5'10 vs. Floyd's 5'8 and Floyd has a very long reach for his size. It's quite a winnable fight for Floyd. I also have heard that he will be at ringside for the fight which means he's scoping out his options anyway.
5. We get Bradley vs. Cotto @154? Cotto was at ringside for the Bradley fight and win or lose, Cotto is not going to stay at 160 and fight Golovkin, and while Tim isn't a big guy @ 5'6, Miguel is only listed as 5'7-5'7.5. This is an interesting match up because while Cotto is a great body puncher, he's not a concussive head puncher and Bradley's speed and movement could pose massive problems for Cotto. This would be a fun fight. Some people have speculated that Bradley could fight Rios. This is a stupid fight that IMO no one wants to see. Beating Rio's would do nothing for his career and even more if he were to get a fluke loss it would end his career as a top fighter in general. Little gain, much to lose there.
This is of course just a few of the options I've thought up while reading some things and talking to a few writers that I do on occasion. All of this is assuming Floyd doesn't take a fluke loss to Maidana as well... never can tell.
After May 3rd, he will have 3 fights left on his showtime contract. One will be in Sept. and the other 2 will be next year. I can predict that we might see him fight Danny Garcia (if he stays undefeated and is an easy win), Bradley or Manny, and Martinez *crosses fingers* to try to really go out with a bang.
However, based off of some things I have read, heard and my own thoughts there are a few ways I think this will go down...
1. We get Manny vs. Floyd BUT not until 2015 when Manny's contract with top rank runs out. This is not the most likely of scenarios however for two reasons. Manny has said that he does not plan to leave arum, and Floyd HATES arum.
2. We get Floyd vs. Bradley: I know I know, but Bradley just lost! Here me out on this one anyway. Floyd and his team are masters of hyping a fight. Floyd will say that he felt like Bradley beat Manny and that had Bradley not been injured early in the fight he would have beaten him again.
Why I think this is the more likely fight? For a few reasons. One that I mentioned about Manny being with arum. However, the bigger reasons are that Bradley just made 6 million for this fight, he is a less expensive opponent, but is he a draw enough to sell the fight? YES! He's now easily beaten the guy who KO'd Manny, has an "official" win over Manny and has been in now two PPV's with Manny. That's a lot of exposure. Why else will it sell? Floyd vs. Alvarez was the highest grossing PPV event in history, everyone assumed that half of that was because of Alvarez, but after the disappointing PPV numbers for Alvarez vs. Angulo have come out, it seems that Floyd was the draw, but not because people love him... because people want to see him lose, many of those PPV's were simply for that reason alone. But Tim Bradley is with top rank too, so how can this happen? Simple, Bradley cares more about legacy and would happily buy out his contract with arum for a fight with Floyd. Floyd offers him 5-10 million dollars without arums typical 30% cut and in the end Bradley makes more than he did Saturday night and the shot of causing a HUGE upset. Manny is loyal to arum to a fault... I don't believe Bradley is the same way.
Let's assume for a second though that arum sits down with golden boy and they try to work out a deal. Floyd will not give Manny half after being knocked out by Marquez and looking less impressive vs. Rios and Bradley (in the sense of the Manny of 2009-2012). Depending on how the numbers come in from Saturday which I will guestimate that 600-800k buys (Manny vs. Rios was only 500k) and at the most he offers Manny a 70/30 split at best, which will immediately kill talks with arum and that side.
3. Floyd reaches out to Manny either bypassing arum, or perhaps he attempts to convince Manny to sign with golden boy when his contract is up instead in which he would get less money taken off of his purse, a signing bonus for however many fights and then offers him the same 40 million dollar guarantee (Manny was just guaranteed by arum 20 million for Saturday night) that he offered Manny before. Remember, Manny has serious tax issues and may wind up broke very soon if someone doesn't step in and help him and arum isn't interest in that.. he just wants the guy to fight and keep making him money.
4. We get Floyd vs. Martinez: Cotto and Martinez will fight in June, if Martinez wins that fight, but looks beatable I can really see Floyd shooting him an offer of a few million. Martinez wanted the Cotto fight so bad he told his people "give him whatever he wants and let's fight"... this shows that he would be more than willing to do the same for Floyd. This is perhaps Floyd's cheapest option as well as legacy defining one. Martinez is not a big middleweight and IIRC he hasn't even come into a MW fight at the 160 lb limit since he's been there. He's 5'10 vs. Floyd's 5'8 and Floyd has a very long reach for his size. It's quite a winnable fight for Floyd. I also have heard that he will be at ringside for the fight which means he's scoping out his options anyway.
5. We get Bradley vs. Cotto @154? Cotto was at ringside for the Bradley fight and win or lose, Cotto is not going to stay at 160 and fight Golovkin, and while Tim isn't a big guy @ 5'6, Miguel is only listed as 5'7-5'7.5. This is an interesting match up because while Cotto is a great body puncher, he's not a concussive head puncher and Bradley's speed and movement could pose massive problems for Cotto. This would be a fun fight. Some people have speculated that Bradley could fight Rios. This is a stupid fight that IMO no one wants to see. Beating Rio's would do nothing for his career and even more if he were to get a fluke loss it would end his career as a top fighter in general. Little gain, much to lose there.
This is of course just a few of the options I've thought up while reading some things and talking to a few writers that I do on occasion. All of this is assuming Floyd doesn't take a fluke loss to Maidana as well... never can tell.
After May 3rd, he will have 3 fights left on his showtime contract. One will be in Sept. and the other 2 will be next year. I can predict that we might see him fight Danny Garcia (if he stays undefeated and is an easy win), Bradley or Manny, and Martinez *crosses fingers* to try to really go out with a bang.
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